{"id":110243,"date":"2025-10-16T10:04:24","date_gmt":"2025-10-16T08:04:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sonnenseite.com\/?p=110243"},"modified":"2025-10-16T10:04:24","modified_gmt":"2025-10-16T08:04:24","slug":"new-reality-as-world-reaches-first-climate-tipping-point","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sonnenseite.com\/en\/environment\/new-reality-as-world-reaches-first-climate-tipping-point\/","title":{"rendered":"\u2018New reality\u2019 as world reaches first climate tipping point"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Widespread mortality of warm-water coral reefs under way, as world reaches first tipping point. With global warming set to breach 1.5\u00b0C, world dangerously close to further catastrophic tipping points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These include melting ice sheets, Amazon rainforest dieback and collapse of vital ocean currents. Tipping points pose a new type of threat that current international structures and agreements are not designed to counter. Key to averting catastrophe is to act urgently, by supporting societal transformation and triggering \u2018positive tipping points\u2019 such as the self-propelling rollout of green technologies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The world faces a \u201cnew reality\u201d as we have reached the first of many Earth system tipping points that will cause catastrophic harm unless humanity takes urgent action, according to a landmark report released today (13 Oct) by the <a href=\"https:\/\/news.exeter.ac.uk\/research\/new-reality-as-world-reaches-first-climate-tipping-point\/\">University of Exeter<\/a> and international partners.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With ministers gathering today ahead of the COP30 summit, the second <a href=\"https:\/\/global-tipping-points.org\/\">Global Tipping Points Report<\/a> finds that warm-water coral reefs \u2013 on which nearly a billion people and a quarter of all marine life depend \u2013 are passing their tipping point. Widespread dieback is taking place and \u2013 unless global warming is reversed \u2013 extensive reefs as we know them will be lost, although small refuges may survive and must be protected.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We are on the brink of more tipping points, with devastating risks for people and nature: the irreversible melting of polar ice sheets, the collapse of key ocean currents and the dieback of the Amazon rainforest \u2013 where COP30 will be held.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With global warming set to breach 1.5\u00b0C, the report \u2013 by 160 scientists at 87 institutions in 23 countries \u2013 argues that countries must minimise temperature overshoot to avoid crossing more tipping points. Every fraction of a degree and every year spent above 1.5\u00b0C matters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Action to trigger \u201cpositive tipping points\u201d of self-propelling change \u2013 such as the rollout of green technologies \u2013 now offers the only credible route to a safe, just and sustainable future, the report says.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Global Tipping Points Report 2025\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/5BVjeWWRtOQ?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The researchers are working with Brazil\u2019s COP30 Presidency to ensure that tipping points are on the agenda at the summit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Professor Tim Lenton, from the <a href=\"https:\/\/gsiexeter.co.uk\/\">Global Systems Institute<\/a> at the University of Exeter, said: \u201cWe are rapidly approaching multiple Earth system tipping points that could transform our world, with devastating consequences for people and nature. This demands immediate, unprecedented action from leaders at COP30 and policymakers worldwide.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cIn the two years since the first Global Tipping Points Report, there has been a radical global acceleration in some areas, including the uptake of solar power and electric vehicles. But we need to do more \u2013 and move faster \u2013 to seize positive tipping point opportunities. By doing so, we can drastically cut greenhouse gas emissions and tip the world away from catastrophic tipping points and towards a thriving, sustainable future.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dr Mike Barrett, chief scientific advisor at WWF-UK and co-author of the report, said: \u201cThe findings of this report are incredibly alarming. That warm-water coral reefs are passing their thermal tipping point is a tragedy for nature and the people that rely on them for food and income. This grim situation must be a wake-up call that unless we act decisively now, we will also lose the Amazon rainforest, the ice sheets and vital ocean currents. In that scenario we would be looking at a truly catastrophic outcome for all humanity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cAs we head into the COP30 climate negotiations it\u2019s vital that all parties grasp the gravity of the situation and the extent of what we all stand to lose if the climate and nature crises are not addressed. The solutions are within our reach. Countries must show the political bravery and leadership to work together and achieve them.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The report says that the nature of abrupt and irreversible Earth system tipping points mean that they pose a different type of threat to other environmental challenges, and that current policies and decision-making processes are not adequate to respond. Global action must include accelerating emissions reductions and scaling up carbon removal to minimise temperature overshoot. The expected impacts of tipping processes need to be considered in risk assessments, adaptation policies, loss and damage mechanisms and human rights litigation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dr Manjana Milkoreit, from the University of Oslo, said: \u201cCurrent policy thinking doesn\u2019t usually take tipping points into account. Tipping points present distinct governance challenges compared to other aspects of climate change or environmental decline, requiring both governance innovations and reforms of existing institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cPreventing tipping points requires \u2018frontloaded\u2019 mitigation pathways that minimise peak global temperature, the duration of the overshoot period above 1.5\u00b0C, and the return time below 1.5\u00b0C. Sustainable carbon dioxide removal approaches need to be rapidly scaled up to achieve this.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The report\u2019s authors are working with Brazil\u2019s COP30 Presidency on the \u201cAction Agenda\u201d as a platform for accelerating climate transition plans and triggering self-reinforcing change across different sectors \u2013 from agriculture to energy, from forests to cities \u2013 towards low-carbon and climate-resilient global transformation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The President Designate of COP30 in Brazil, Ambassador Andr\u00e9 Corr\u00eaa do Lago, said: \u201cAs part of a global mobilisation against climate change \u2013 our \u2018Global Mutir\u00e3o\u2019 \u2013 the COP30 Presidency invited community leaders, scholars and scientists to explore the best available science and ancestral wisdom around how our institutions can gain exponentiality in deploying solutions and versatility in responding to the climate crisis, including through agile, iterative and adaptive capabilities. I welcome the Global Tipping Points Report as a positive and timely response to our invitation. The report stands as hopeful and sober evidence that humanity can still choose to change and evolve towards a safe, prosperous and equitable future.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The report highlights progress on positive tipping points \u2013 and opportunities for a cascade of positive change:<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Positive tipping points have already been crossed<\/strong> in solar PV and wind power globally, and in the adoption of electric vehicles, battery storage and heat pumps in leading markets. These transitions can still be accelerated. Coordinated policy action at \u201csuper-leverage points\u201d can unleash positive tipping cascades across interacting sectors (e.g. power, transport and heating), bringing forward tipping in all. Once replaced, polluting technologies are unlikely to return because the new options are cheaper and better. Social attitudes are also tipping. Concern about climate change is growing globally \u2013 and even small numbers of people can tip the majority.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>More positive tipping points are approaching<\/strong> in sectors including goods transport. COP30\u2019s host nation, Brazil, has great potential for producing green steel, green hydrogen, and green ammonia \u2013 helping to kickstart these crucial technologies worldwide. Positive tipping points can rapidly restore nature and biodiversity. Ecosystem restoration can tip degraded systems back to health, and shifts to more sustainable patterns of consumption and production can lead to tipping points in food and fibre supply chains that end deforestation and ecosystem conversion.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>We need to identify and trigger many more positive tipping points<\/strong>. Better indicators are needed to understand tipping potential. Once identified, positive tipping is enabled by making the desired innovation the most affordable, accessible and\/or attractive option. Governments, businesses, civil society and individuals all have a role to play. People understand the need for change and support the transition to a cleaner, healthier world, provided it is done fairly. Success may depend on following a path of least polarisation. The COP30 Presidency has launched a Global Mutir\u00e3o (meaning \u201ccollective efforts\u201d) to encourage climate action worldwide.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The report includes case studies on several Earth system tipping points:<\/h4>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"alignright size-full is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sonnenseite.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/UniExeter_TippingPointsReport2025.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"400\" height=\"564\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sonnenseite.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/UniExeter_TippingPointsReport2025.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-110245\" style=\"width:298px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.sonnenseite.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/UniExeter_TippingPointsReport2025.jpg 400w, https:\/\/www.sonnenseite.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/UniExeter_TippingPointsReport2025-213x300.jpg 213w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Globally, <strong>warm-water coral reefs<\/strong> are experiencing unprecedented mortality under repeated mass bleaching events. With current global warming at about 1.4\u00b0C<strong>, <\/strong>reefs are passing their thermal tipping point (central estimate 1.2\u00b0C, range 1-1.5\u00b0C). Even stabilising warming at 1.5\u00b0C, warm-water coral reefs are virtually certain (over 99% probability) to tip. This means coral reefs on any meaningful scale will be lost unless the global temperature returns towards 1\u00b0C warming or below, although fragments of reef may be preserved with conservation action that minimise other human stressors such as overfishing and pollution. Regional risk assessments and governance are urgently needed to prepare for the increasing loss of ecosystem services provided by reefs.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The report finds that the temperature rise that would trigger the widespread dieback of the <strong>Amazon rainforest<\/strong> due to a combination of climate change and deforestation is lower than previously thought, with the lower end of the estimated range now at 1.5\u00b0C, highlighting the need for urgent action. Over a hundred million people depend on the Amazon and it could also be subject to positive social tipping points: inclusive local governance (including by Indigenous People), recognition of traditional knowledge, and targeted investments in conservation and restoration could boost the resilience of people and nature.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The <strong>Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC)<\/strong> is at risk of collapse below 2\u00b0C of global warming. This would result in much harsher winters in north-west Europe, disrupt the West African and Indian Monsoons, and decrease agricultural yields in much of the world \u2013 with major impacts for global food security.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Professor Lenton concluded: \u201cOnly with a combination of decisive policy and civil society action can the world tip its trajectory from facing existential Earth system tipping point risks to seizing positive tipping point opportunities.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n<h5 class=\"green\">Source<\/h5>\r\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/news.exeter.ac.uk\/research\/new-reality-as-world-reaches-first-climate-tipping-point\/\">University of Exeter 2025<\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"shariff shariff-align-flex-start shariff-widget-align-flex-start\"><div class=\"ShariffHeadline\">Diese Meldung teilen<\/div><ul class=\"shariff-buttons theme-round orientation-horizontal buttonsize-medium\"><li class=\"shariff-button facebook shariff-nocustomcolor\" style=\"background-color:#4273c8;border-radius:1%\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.sonnenseite.com%2Fen%2Fenvironment%2Fnew-reality-as-world-reaches-first-climate-tipping-point%2F\" title=\"Bei Facebook teilen\" aria-label=\"Bei Facebook teilen\" role=\"button\" rel=\"nofollow\" class=\"shariff-link\" style=\";border-radius:1%; 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With global [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":4473,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[42],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-110243","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-environment"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>\u2018New reality\u2019 as world reaches first climate tipping point - Sonnenseite - \u00d6kologische Kommunikation mit Franz Alt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Widespread mortality of warm-water coral reefs under way, as world reaches first tipping point. 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