{"id":110420,"date":"2025-10-25T02:35:00","date_gmt":"2025-10-25T00:35:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sonnenseite.com\/?p=110420"},"modified":"2025-10-25T09:20:35","modified_gmt":"2025-10-25T07:20:35","slug":"mediterranean-carbon-budget-already-exhausted-by-2035","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sonnenseite.com\/en\/environment\/mediterranean-carbon-budget-already-exhausted-by-2035\/","title":{"rendered":"Mediterranean Carbon Budget already exhausted by 2035"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

A new report<\/a> from the Basque Centre for Climate Change (BC3) for OceanCare shows urgent action is needed to stay within the Mediterranean\u2019s carbon budget.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Madrid, Spain \u2013 The Mediterranean Region is on track to exhaust its remaining carbon budget by 2035, according to a new report from the Basque Centre for Climate Change (BC3)<\/a>, prepared for OceanCare. Unless countries reduce emissions by around 6% per year between 2030 and 2050, the region will overshoot the Paris Agreement goals, putting both communities and ecosystems at escalating risk.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The study analyses carbon budget allocation and emission pathways for the 21 signatory countries of the Barcelona Convention, as the region faces accelerating warming. Data from the Mediterranean Centre for Environmental Studies (CEAM, 2024) shows that the surface temperature of the Mediterranean Sea has risen by 1.5\u00b0C over the past 40 years, threatening climate stability and the wellbeing of all life in the region.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cScience offers a frightening outlook for the Mediterranean area as a result of climate change. Unfortunately, despite the overwhelming evidence on the disproportionate impact of climate change in the Mediterranean, most range states are not taking a lead in decarbonisation efforts\u201d<\/em>, says Carlos Bravo, Oceans Policy Specialist at OceanCare.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cKeeping the Mediterranean below 1.5 \u00b0C is an impossible mission; that opportunity has already passed. But the decarbonisation target to stay within the 2 \u00b0C limit is still possible and is an obligation under the Paris Agreement.<\/em> Mediterranean countries must be consistent with the agreement reached at COP28 of the UNFCCC and begin the \u201ctransition away from fossil fuels\u201d in a fair, orderly and equitable manner, marking the \u201cbeginning of the end\u201d of the fossil fuel era,\u2019<\/em> added Carlos Bravo of OceanCare.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThe time when the ecological transition could be envisaged as a gradual change is now over, as the results of this study show. The climate procrastination of states means we must either accelerate the transition or face the consequences of climate chaos,\u201d <\/em>says Dr Mar\u00eda Victoria Rom\u00e1n, Lead Author at BC3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report evaluates alternative approaches for distributing the remaining carbon budget (RCB) and projects emissions pathways from 2030 to 2100, based on countries\u2019 Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) and using the Integrated Assessment Model GCAM.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key findings<\/h4>\n\n\n\n