{"id":26806,"date":"2017-06-28T00:27:00","date_gmt":"2017-06-27T22:27:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sonnenseite.com\/energy\/destroy-the-industry-to-save-it-another-report-warns-of-section-201-cases-potentially-devastating-effects.html"},"modified":"2017-06-28T00:27:00","modified_gmt":"2017-06-27T22:27:00","slug":"destroy-the-industry-to-save-it-another-report-warns-of-section-201-cases-potentially-devastating-effects","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sonnenseite.com\/en\/energy\/destroy-the-industry-to-save-it-another-report-warns-of-section-201-cases-potentially-devastating-effects\/","title":{"rendered":"Destroy the industry to save it? Another report warns of Section 201 case\u2019s potentially devastating effects"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.greentechmedia.com\/research\/report\/us-solar-outlook-under-section-201\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">GTM Research&rsquo;s latest report<\/a> predicts a 50% to 60% overall reduction to solar installations if trade action is taken, with the utility-scale sector taking the most significant hit.<\/p>\n<p> <!--more--> <\/p>\n<p>After the indiscriminate bombing of&nbsp;the Vietnamese city of Ben Tre&nbsp;in  1968, one U.S. Army office is famously supposed to have told Associated  Press correspondent Peter Arnett that it had become necessary to  destroy the village in order to save it.<\/p>\n<p>Could Suniva&nbsp;and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.solarworld-usa.com\/\">SolarWorld<\/a> be pursuing their Section 201 trade complaint under the same muddled logic?<\/p>\n<p>For  the second time in little more than&nbsp;a month, a report has surfaced &ndash;  this time by GTM Research &ndash; that suggests a successful execution of  Suniva&rsquo;s petition to protect it from foreign competition under Sections  201 and 202 of&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/legcounsel.house.gov\/Comps\/93-618.pdf\">the Trade Act of 1974<\/a>&nbsp;could  produce a 50% to 66% reduction in the U.S. solar market, with the  utility-scale pipeline taking the most significant hit initially.<\/p>\n<p>GTM Research suggests one of two outcomes depending on&nbsp;<em>how<\/em> the U.S. International Trade Commission (ITC) and President Donald J. Trump&rsquo;s administration decide to handle the complaint:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>If  Suniva&rsquo;s suggested remedy of a $0.78\/Wdc minimum crystalline silicon PV  module price is accepted, U.S. solar demand would be reduced by 50%  cumulatively over the next five years.<\/li>\n<li>If  the minimum price is added to Suniva&rsquo;s proposed $0.40\/Wdc tariff on  imported crystalline PV cells, U.S. demand would be reduced by 66%  cumulatively over the next five years.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The GTM authors write, however, that if new tariffs are imposed: &#8220;&hellip; a larger number of state markets for utility PV than for distributed  PV are at risk of seeing deployment erased altogether under either  tariff scenario.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The report is quick to caution the industry against panic and outlines  seven scenarios&nbsp;that could completely alter its analysis, including the  possibility that the ITC finds no injury has been done&nbsp;or there&rsquo;s a  negotiated settlement (see executive summary for more details).<\/p>\n<p>t should also be noted that one of the parties to this complaint,  SolarWorld, also filed trade complaints of its own in 2011 that set off a  firestorm of criticism and condemnation from well-known industry  observers who predicted dire consequences for the industry &ndash;  consequences that clearly did not materialize, given the industry&rsquo;s  continued explosive growth during that period. The complaints have been  filed with different trade organizations that operate with different  criteria, however, so a direct correlation between the two situations  can&rsquo;t be drawn.<\/p>\n<p>The GTM report is the second in little over a  month that outlines the potentially devastating effects of Suniva&rsquo;s  trade complaint (later joined by SolarWorld) on the industry. In May, <a href=\"https:\/\/ihsmarkit.com\/\">IHS Markit<\/a>&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/pv-magazine-usa.com\/2017\/05\/18\/report-suniva-case-could-slash-u-s-pv-market-60-by-2021\/\">predicted a potential 60% reduction<\/a> in the U.S. solar industry by 2020 if Suniva&rsquo;s complaint is successful.<\/p>\n<p>This report is available for purchase or as part of GTM&#8217;s solar research subscription. Contact <a href=\"mailto:solarsubscription@gtmresearch.com?subject=U.S.%20Solar%20Outlook%20Under%20Section%20201%20report\">solarsubscription@gtmresearch.com<\/a> to learn more.<\/p>\n<h5 class=\"green\">Source<\/h5>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/pv-magazine-usa.com\/2017\/06\/26\/destroy-the-industry-to-save-it-another-report-confirms-sunivas-potentiallly-devastating-effects\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pv-magazine.com<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/mce_host\/includes\/frank.andorka@pv-magazine.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Frank Andorka 2017<\/a> |&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/pv-magazine-usa.com\/author\/frankandorka\/\">More articles from Frank Andorka<\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"shariff shariff-align-flex-start shariff-widget-align-flex-start\"><div class=\"ShariffHeadline\">Diese Meldung teilen<\/div><ul class=\"shariff-buttons theme-round orientation-horizontal buttonsize-medium\"><li class=\"shariff-button facebook shariff-nocustomcolor\" style=\"background-color:#4273c8;border-radius:1%\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.sonnenseite.com%2Fen%2Fenergy%2Fdestroy-the-industry-to-save-it-another-report-warns-of-section-201-cases-potentially-devastating-effects%2F\" title=\"Bei Facebook teilen\" aria-label=\"Bei Facebook teilen\" role=\"button\" rel=\"nofollow\" class=\"shariff-link\" style=\";border-radius:1%; 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