{"id":49288,"date":"2014-10-25T07:33:00","date_gmt":"2014-10-25T05:33:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sonnenseite.com\/future\/a-decade-of-climate-extremes.html"},"modified":"2014-10-25T07:33:00","modified_gmt":"2014-10-25T05:33:00","slug":"a-decade-of-climate-extremes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sonnenseite.com\/en\/future\/a-decade-of-climate-extremes\/","title":{"rendered":"A Decade of Climate Extremes"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The world experienced unprecedented high-impact climate extremes  during  the 2001-2010 decade, which was the warmest since the start of  modern  measurements in 1850 and continued an extended period of  pronounced  global warming.<\/p>\n<p> <!--more--> <\/p>\n<div class=\"contentPlain\">\n<p class=\"contentPlain\">More  national temperature records were  reported broken than in any previous  decade, according to a new report  by the World Meteorological  Organization (WMO).<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"contentPlain\">\n<p>The report, <em><a class=\"contentLink\" href=\"http:\/\/library.wmo.int\/opac\/index.php?lvl=notice_display&amp;id=15110\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Global Climate 2001-2010, A Decade of Climate Extremes<\/a><\/em>,   analysed global and regional temperatures and precipitation, as well  as  extreme events such as the heat waves in Europe and Russia,  Hurricane  Katrina in the United States of America, Tropical Cyclone  Nargis in  Myanmar, droughts in the Amazon Basin, Australia and East  Africa and  floods in Pakistan.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The decade was the warmest for both hemispheres and for both  land  and ocean surface temperatures. The record warmth was accompanied  by a  rapid decline in Arctic sea ice, and accelerating loss of net mass  from  the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets and from the world&rsquo;s  glaciers.  As a result of this widespread melting and the thermal  expansion of sea  water, global mean sea levels rose about 3 millimetres  (mm) per year,  about double the observed 20th century trend of 1.6 mm  per year. Global  sea level averaged over the decade was about 20 cm  higher than that of  1880, according to the report.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The WMO report charted rising atmospheric concentrations of   greenhouse gases. Global-average concentrations of carbon dioxide in the   atmosphere rose to 389 parts per million in 2010 (an increase of 39%   since the start of the industrial era in 1750), methane to 1808.0parts   per billion (158%) and nitrous oxide to 323.2 parts per billion (20%).&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;A decade is the minimum possible timeframe for meaningful   assessments of climate change,&rdquo; said WMO Secretary-General Michel   Jarraud.&nbsp; &ldquo;WMO&rsquo;s report shows that global warming was significant from   1971 to 2010 and that the decadal rate of increase between 1991-2000 and   2001-2010 was unprecedented.&nbsp; Rising concentrations of heat-trapping   greenhouse gases are changing our climate, with far reaching   implications for our environment and our oceans, which are absorbing   both carbon dioxide and heat.&rdquo;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;Natural climate variability, caused in part by interactions  between  our atmosphere and oceans &ndash; as evidenced by El Ni&ntilde;o and La Ni&ntilde;a  events  &#8211; means that some years are cooler than others. On an annual  basis,  the global temperature curve is not a smooth one. On a long-term  basis  the underlying trend is clearly in an upward direction, more so in   recent times&rdquo; said Mr Jarraud.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Between 2001 and 2010, there was no major El Ni&ntilde;o event, which   normally leads to higher temperatures (as occurred in the then-record   warm year of 1998). Much of the decade experienced either cooling La   Ni&ntilde;a or neutral conditions, except for the 2009\/2010 moderate to strong   El Ni&ntilde;o.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The 100-page report and an executive summary, incorporating  findings  from a unique survey of 139 National Meteorological and  Hydrological  Services and socio-economic data and analysis from several  UN agencies  and partners, were released to coincide with the first  session of the  Intergovernmental Board on Climate Services. This Board  is overseeing  the implementation of the Global Framework for Climate  Services &ndash; an  international initiative to improve and expand  scientifically-based  climate information to help society cope with the  natural variability  of our climate and human induced climate change.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&lsquo;&ldquo;A decadal perspective makes it possible to assess trends in  the  climate system and anticipate the future. It can also inform efforts  to  develop operational climate services that provide information and   forecasts for decision-making in agriculture, health, disaster risk,   water resources and other sectors. These efforts are being coordinated   through the WMO-led Global Framework for Climate Services,&rdquo; said Mr   Jarraud.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;Climate services are more necessary than ever to help us cope  with  global changes in our climate, which are accentuated at regional  and  national scales.&nbsp; Despite the significant decrease in casualties due  to  severe storms and flooding, the WMO report highlighted an alarming   impact on health and mortality rates caused by the European and Russian   heat-waves. Given that climate change is expected to lead to more   frequent and intense heat-waves, we need to be prepared,&lsquo;&rsquo;&nbsp; said Mr.   Jarraud.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Temperatures: <\/strong>The average land and  ocean-surface  temperature for the decade 2001-2010 was estimated to be  14.47&deg;C, or  0.47&deg;C above the 1961&ndash;1990 global average and +0.21&deg;C above  the  1991&ndash;2000 global average (with a factor of uncertainty of &plusmn; 0.1&deg;C).&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The decadal rate of increase in the global temperature  accelerated  between 1971 and 2010. The global temperature increased at  an average  estimated rate of 0.17&deg;C per decade during that period,  compared with  0.062&deg;C per decade for the entire 1880-2010 period. The  average  2001-2010 decadal temperature was 0.21&deg;C warmer than 1991&ndash;2000,  which  in turn was +0.14&deg;C warmer than 1981-1990.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Every year of the decade except 2008 was among the 10 warmest  years  on record. The warmest year ever recorded was 2010, with a  temperature  estimated at 0.54&deg;C above the 14.0&deg;C long term average of  1961-1990  base period, followed closely by 2005.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Above-average temperatures were observed over most parts of the   globe in 2001-2010. This was particularly marked in the higher   latitudes of the northern hemisphere. Greenland recorded the largest   decadal temperature anomaly, at +1.71&deg;C above the long-term average and   with a temperature in 2010 of +3.2&deg;C above average.&nbsp; Africa experienced   warmer than normal conditions in every year of the decade.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Results from WMO&rsquo;s survey showed that nearly 94% of reporting   countries had their warmest decade in 2001-2010 and no country reported a   nationwide average decadal temperature anomaly cooler than&nbsp; the long   term average.<\/p>\n<p>Some 44% of countries in the survey reported nationwide hottest   temperature records in 2001-2010, compared to 24% in 1991-2000.&nbsp;   Coldest daily minimum temperature absolute records showed an opposite   pattern:&nbsp; In 1961-1970, nearly 32 % of the countries reported nationwide   lowest minimum temperature values. The percentage decreased to 11% in   2001-2010.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Precipitation and floods: <\/strong>The 2001-2010 decade  was  the second wettest since 1901. Globally, 2010 was the wettest year   since the start of instrumental records.<\/p>\n<p>Most parts of the globe had above-normal precipitation during  the  decade. The eastern USA, northern and eastern Canada, and many parts  of  Europe and central Asia were particularly wet.<\/p>\n<p>According to the WMO survey, floods were the most frequently   experienced extreme events over the course of the decade. Eastern Europe   was particularly affected in 2001 and 2005, India in 2005, Africa in   2008, Asia (notably Pakistan, where 2 000 people died and 20 million   were affected) in 2010, and Australia, also in 2010.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Droughts affect more people than any other kind of natural  hazards  owing to their large scale and long-lasting nature. The decade   2001&ndash;2010 saw droughts occur in all parts of the world. Some of the   highest-impact and long-term droughts struck Australia (in 2002 and   other years), East Africa (2004 and 2005, resulting in widespread loss   of life) and the Amazon Basin (2010) with negative environmental   impacts.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Tropical cyclones: <\/strong>Between 2001 and 2010,  there  were 511 tropical cyclone related events which resulted in a total  of  nearly 170,000 persons reported killed, over 250 million people   reported affected and estimated economic damages of US$ 380 billion.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>According to the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric   Administration, 2001-2010 was the most active decade since 1855 in terms   of tropical cyclone activity in the North Atlantic Basin. An average  of  15 named storms per year was recorded, well above the long-term  average  of 12.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The North Indian Ocean saw the deadliest tropical cyclone  recorded  during the decade, when Tropical Cyclone Nargis struck Myanmar  in early  May 2008. More than 138 000 people were reported killed or  missing,  eight million people were affected and thousands of homes were   destroyed.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Impacts: <\/strong>During the decade 2001-2010, more  than  370,000 people died as a result of extreme weather and climate   conditions, including heat waves, cold spells, drought, storms and   floods, according to the data provided by the Centre for Research on the   Epidemiology of Disasters (CRED). This was 20% higher than 1991-2000.&nbsp;   This increase is due mainly to the 2003 heat wave in Europe and the   2010&nbsp; in Russia which contributed to an increase of more than 2000% in   the global death toll from heat waves (from less than 6000 in 1991-2000   to 136 000 in 2001-2010).&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, there was a 16% decline in deaths due to  storms  and 43% decline in deaths from floods, thanks mainly to better  early  warning systems and increased preparedness and despite an increase  in  populations in disaster-prone areas.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>According to the 2011 Global Assessment Report, the average   population exposed to flooding every year increased by 114% globally   between 1970 and 2010, a period in which the world&rsquo;s population   increased by 87% from 3.7 billion to 6.9 billion. The number of people   exposed to severe storms almost tripled in cyclone-prone areas,   increasing by 192%, in the same period.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Much research is being conducted into whether it is possible to   attribute individual extreme events to climate change rather than   natural variability. Scientists increasingly conclude that the   likelihood of an event such as the 2003 European heat wave was probably   substantially increased by rising global temperatures. It is therefore   important to develop this research to strengthen climate science and to   use it to improve climate services to help society adapt to climate   change.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>Notes to Editors: Climate data and information used in this   report was provided by a number of international, regional and national   institutions. Most of the data on impacts caused by extreme events was   provided by the Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters.   Details on data sources, contributors and references are included in the   <a class=\"contentLink\" href=\"http:\/\/library.wmo.int\/opac\/index.php?lvl=notice_display&amp;id=15110\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">full report<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" frameborder=\"0\" src=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/qSz7U0C0bsY\" height=\"360\" width=\"100%\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<h5 class=\"green\">Source<\/h5>\n<p><a class=\"contentLink\" href=\"http:\/\/www.wmo.int\/pages\/mediacentre\/press_releases\/pr_976_en.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">World Meteorological Organization (WMO) 2013<\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"shariff shariff-align-left shariff-widget-align-left\"><div class=\"ShariffHeadline\">Diese Meldung teilen<\/div><ul class=\"shariff-buttons theme-round orientation-horizontal buttonsize-medium\"><li class=\"shariff-button facebook shariff-nocustomcolor\" 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