{"id":5880,"date":"2019-10-22T08:53:32","date_gmt":"2019-10-22T06:53:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sonnenseite.com\/energy\/pv-performance-projections-for-the-21st-century.html"},"modified":"2019-10-22T08:53:32","modified_gmt":"2019-10-22T06:53:32","slug":"pv-performance-projections-for-the-21st-century","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sonnenseite.com\/en\/energy\/pv-performance-projections-for-the-21st-century\/","title":{"rendered":"PV performance projections for the 21st century"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A study has divided the world into 12 climate zones on the basis of the K&ouml;ppen&ndash;Geiger classification map. The paper confirmed Chile&rsquo;s Atacama region has the world&rsquo;s highest solar radiation but also showed the region with the highest performance ratio for PV systems was near Moscow.<\/p>\n<p> <!--more--> <\/p>\n<div class=\"entry-content\">\n<p>A research team from Slovenia&rsquo;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pv-magazine.com\/press-releases\/european-technology-and-innovation-platform-for-photovoltaics-elected-chairmen-and-7-new-steering-committee-members\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">University of Ljubljana<\/a> has proposed a new methodology for global <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pv-magazine.com\/2018\/09\/03\/uae-uses-ai-to-map-its-solar-potential\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">climate classification<\/a> whose primary aim is to evaluate solar project performance.<\/p>\n<p>The system, presented in the paper <em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S0038092X19308527#f0020\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Methodology of K&ouml;ppen-Geiger-Photovoltaic climate classification and implications to worldwide mapping of PV system performance<\/a><\/em>,  is based on the most widely used climate classification system &ndash; the  K&ouml;ppen-Geiger map &ndash; and divides the globe into 12 zones with regard to  temperature, precipitation and irradiation.<\/p>\n<p>The  K&ouml;ppen-Geiger-Photovoltaic (KGPV) map is said to be the first global  climate classification scheme used to analyse the long-term performance  and reliability of PV modules and to compensate for a lack of  standardization in climate zones. &ldquo;The usefulness of the KGPV scheme can  be proved by comparing the climate zones with relevant PV indicators  such as the energy yield, performance ratio or <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pv-magazine.com\/2019\/05\/16\/coolback-interview-lower-temperature-higher-performance\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">module operating temperature<\/a>,&rdquo; the researchers wrote.<\/p>\n<p>The  12 climate zones and four PV indicators examined by the Ljubljana team &ndash;  solar irradiance, weather data, local conditions and PV panel data &ndash;  are projected towards the year 2100 under the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pv-magazine.com\/2019\/08\/16\/global-warming-will-hit-solar-panel-performance\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">climate change projections<\/a>  derived from the &ldquo;SSP5-8.5&rdquo; climate change scenario created by the  Institut Pierre Simon Laplace, a group of nine laboratories conducting  research into climate science.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Mind the gap<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The  scientists claim that although data for temperature and precipitation  are already available, thanks to thousands of ground-based measurements  integrated into large datasets, similar collections of data points for  solar radiation either do not exist or are limited to the northern  hemisphere, where most ground stations are located. To fill the gap, the  researchers adopted global horizontal irradiation data from the  reanalysis-based ERA-Interim dataset provided by the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pv-magazine.com\/2017\/11\/09\/weather-and-climate-data-answers-to-questions-from-the-pv-magazine-webinar\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">European Center for Medium-range Weather Forecasts<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>A  KGPV map was generated using those datasets and divided into five  climate zones: A-Tropical, B-Desert, C-Steppe, D-Temperate, E-Cold and  F-Polar. The zones were then subdivided into Low (L), Medium (M), High  (H) and Very High (K) irradiation zones. In order to simplify the  findings, the resulting 24 areas were then halved using a population  density and land-surface ratio.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;The uncertainty of the model  largely depends on the quality of the input data and can deviate largely  from the acceptable values in specific locations like high mountains  and coastal regions,&rdquo; the research team stated. &ldquo;However, the developed  model, together with the used irradiation database, proves to be a  reliable tool for PV performance modelling.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>The study confirmed the world&rsquo;s best PV location is Chile&rsquo;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pv-magazine.com\/2019\/08\/31\/the-weekend-read-chile-taps-white-gold-for-security-of-energy-supply\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Atacama desert<\/a> but also showed the region with the best performance ratio was near Moscow, in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pv-magazine.com\/2019\/05\/03\/interview-is-russias-embrace-of-renewable-energy-a-reality-or-a-myth\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Russia<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"article-images\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"640\" height=\"349\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sonnenseite.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/UniversityLjubljana_PV-Leistung-21Jahrhundert.jpg\" class=\"alignleft\" alt=\"sciencedirect.com | &quot;Methodology of K&ouml;ppen-Geiger-Photovoltaic climate classification and implications to worldwide mapping of PV system performance&quot;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.sonnenseite.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/UniversityLjubljana_PV-Leistung-21Jahrhundert.jpg 770w, https:\/\/www.sonnenseite.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/UniversityLjubljana_PV-Leistung-21Jahrhundert-300x164.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.sonnenseite.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/UniversityLjubljana_PV-Leistung-21Jahrhundert-768x419.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/div>\n<h5 class=\"green\">Source<\/h5>\n<p>Der Bericht wurde von<br \/>\nder&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.pv-magazine.com\/2019\/10\/21\/pv-performance-projections-for-the-21st-century\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Redaktion &#8220;pv-magazine&#8221; (Emiliano Bellini) 2019<\/a>&nbsp;verfasst &ndash;<br \/>\nder Artikel darf nicht ohne Genehmigung&nbsp;weiterverbreitet werden! |&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.pv-magazine.com\/author\/emilianobellini\/\">More articles from Emiliano Bellini<\/a>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div class=\"shariff shariff-align-flex-start shariff-widget-align-flex-start\"><div class=\"ShariffHeadline\">Diese Meldung teilen<\/div><ul class=\"shariff-buttons theme-round orientation-horizontal buttonsize-medium\"><li class=\"shariff-button facebook shariff-nocustomcolor\" style=\"background-color:#4273c8;border-radius:1%\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.sonnenseite.com%2Fen%2Fenergy%2Fpv-performance-projections-for-the-21st-century%2F\" title=\"Bei Facebook teilen\" aria-label=\"Bei Facebook teilen\" role=\"button\" rel=\"nofollow\" class=\"shariff-link\" style=\";border-radius:1%; background-color:#3b5998; color:#fff\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"shariff-icon\" style=\"\"><svg width=\"32px\" height=\"20px\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 18 32\"><path fill=\"#3b5998\" d=\"M17.1 0.2v4.7h-2.8q-1.5 0-2.1 0.6t-0.5 1.9v3.4h5.2l-0.7 5.3h-4.5v13.6h-5.5v-13.6h-4.5v-5.3h4.5v-3.9q0-3.3 1.9-5.2t5-1.8q2.6 0 4.1 0.2z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><\/li><li class=\"shariff-button twitter shariff-nocustomcolor\" style=\"background-color:#595959;border-radius:1%\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/share?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.sonnenseite.com%2Fen%2Fenergy%2Fpv-performance-projections-for-the-21st-century%2F&text=PV%20performance%20projections%20for%20the%2021st%20century\" title=\"Bei X teilen\" aria-label=\"Bei X teilen\" role=\"button\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" class=\"shariff-link\" style=\";border-radius:1%; 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