{"id":62735,"date":"2020-09-19T03:36:00","date_gmt":"2020-09-19T01:36:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sonnenseite.com\/?p=62735"},"modified":"2020-09-14T12:37:09","modified_gmt":"2020-09-14T10:37:09","slug":"over-one-billion-people-at-threat-of-beingdisplaced-by-2050due-toenvironmentalchange-conflict-and-civil-unrest","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sonnenseite.com\/en\/science\/over-one-billion-people-at-threat-of-beingdisplaced-by-2050due-toenvironmentalchange-conflict-and-civil-unrest\/","title":{"rendered":"Over one billion people at threat of beingdisplaced by 2050due toenvironmentalchange, conflict and civil unrest"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
Ecological Threat Register 2020 – The number of threats that are above a defined level of intensity in a country<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
On 09. September 2020 marks the launch of the inauguralEcological Threat Register (ETR), that measures the ecological threats countries are currently facing and provides projections to 2050.The reportuniquely combines measures of resilience with the most comprehensive ecological data available,to shed light on the countries least likely to cope with extreme ecological shocks.The report is released byleading international think-tank the Institute for Economics & Peace(IEP), which produces indexes such as the Global Peace Index and Global TerrorismIndex.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
This is the inaugural edition of the Ecological Threat Register (ETR), which covers 157 independent states and territories. The ETR is unique in that it combines measures of resilience with the most comprehensive ecological data available to shed light on the countries least likely to cope with extreme ecological shocks, now and into the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
19 countries with the highest number of ecological threats are among the world\u2019s 40 least peaceful countries including Afghanistan, Syria, Iraq, Chad, India and Pakistan.<\/li>
Over one billion people live in 31 countries where the country\u2019s resilience is unlikely to sufficiently withstand the impact of ecological events by 2050, contributing to mass population displacement.<\/li>
Sub-Saharan Africa, South Asia, the Middle East and North Africa are the regions facing the largest number of ecological threats.<\/li>
By 2040, a total of 5.4 billion people \u2013 more than half of the world\u2019s projected population \u2013 will live in the 59 countries experiencing high or extreme water stress, including India and China.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n
5 billion people could suffer from food insecurity by 2050; which is an increase of 1.5 billion people from today.<\/li>
The lack of resilience in countries covered in the ETR will lead to worsening food insecurity and competition over resources, increasing civil unrest and mass displacement, exposing developed countries to increased influxes of refugees.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n
The Ecological Threat Register analyses risk from population growth, water stress, food insecurity, droughts, floods, cyclones, rising temperatures and sea levels. Over the next 30 years, the report finds that 141 countries are exposed to at least one ecological threat by 2050. The 19 countries with the highest number of threats have a combined population of 2.1 billion people, which is around 25 per cent of the world\u2019s total population.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\u00a9 pixabay.com |Wikilmages <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
The ETR analyses the levels of societal resilience within countries to determine whether they have the necessary coping capacities to deal with future ecological shocks. The report finds that more than one billion people live in countries that are unlikely to have the ability to mitigate and adapt to new ecological threats, creating conditions for mass displacement by 2050.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The country with the largest number of people at risk of mass displacements is Pakistan, followed by Ethiopia and Iran. Haiti faces the highest threat in Central America. In these countries, even small ecological threats and natural disasters could result in mass population displacement, affecting regional and global security.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Regions that have high resilience, such as Europe and North America, will not be immune from the wider impact of ecological threats, such as a significant number of refugees. The European refugee crisis in the wake of wars in Syria and Iraq in 2015 saw two million people flee to Europe and highlights the link between rapid population shifts with political turbulence and social unrest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
However, Europe, the US and other developed countries are facing fewer ecological threats and also have higher levels of resilience to deal with these risks. Developed countries which are facing no threats include Sweden, Norway, Ireland, and Iceland. In total there are 16 countries facing no threats.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
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