{"id":91337,"date":"2023-05-18T08:47:27","date_gmt":"2023-05-18T06:47:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sonnenseite.com\/?p=91337"},"modified":"2024-09-14T16:05:39","modified_gmt":"2024-09-14T14:05:39","slug":"global-temperatures-set-to-reach-new-records-in-next-five-years","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sonnenseite.com\/en\/future\/global-temperatures-set-to-reach-new-records-in-next-five-years\/","title":{"rendered":"Global temperatures set to reach new records in next five years"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Global temperatures are likely to surge to record levels in the next five years, fuelled by heat-trapping greenhouse gases and a naturally occurring El Ni\u00f1o event, according to a\u00a0new update issued by the World Meteorological Organization<\/a>\u00a0(WMO).\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n

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In June and July 2022, heatwaves struck Europe, North Africa, the Middle East, and Asia, as temperatures climbed above 40 degrees Celsius (104 degrees Fahrenheit) in places and broke many long-standing records. \u00a0\u00a9 NASA | Goddard Earth Observing System\u00a0(GEOS) <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

There is a 66% likelihood that the annual average near-surface global temperature between 2023 and 2027 will be more than 1.5\u00b0C above pre-industrial levels for at least one year.  There is a 98% likelihood that at least one of the next five years, and the five-year period as a whole, will be the warmest on record.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThis report does not mean that we will permanently exceed the 1.5\u00b0C level specified in the Paris Agreement which refers to long-term warming over many years. However, WMO is sounding the alarm that we will breach the 1.5\u00b0C level on a temporary basis with increasing frequency,\u201d said WMO Secretary-General Prof. Petteri Taalas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cA warming El Ni\u00f1o is expected to develop in the coming months and this will combine with human-induced climate change to push global temperatures into uncharted territory,\u201d he said. \u201cThis will have far-reaching repercussions for health, food security, water management and the environment. We need to be prepared,\u201d said Prof. Taalas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

There is only a 32% chance that the five-year mean will exceed the 1.5\u00b0C threshold, according to the Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update produced by the United Kingdom\u2019s Met Office, the WMO lead centre for such predictions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The chance of temporarily exceeding 1.5\u00b0C has risen steadily since 2015, when it was close to zero.  For the years between 2017 and 2021, there was a 10% chance of exceedance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cGlobal mean temperatures are predicted to continue increasing, moving us away further and further away from the climate we are used to,\u201d said Dr Leon Hermanson,  a Met Office expert scientist who led the report.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key points<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n