{"id":91475,"date":"2023-05-24T02:23:00","date_gmt":"2023-05-24T00:23:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sonnenseite.com\/?p=91475"},"modified":"2023-05-23T09:24:28","modified_gmt":"2023-05-23T07:24:28","slug":"limiting-global-warming-to-1-5c-would-save-billions-from-dangerously-hot-climate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sonnenseite.com\/en\/environment\/limiting-global-warming-to-1-5c-would-save-billions-from-dangerously-hot-climate\/","title":{"rendered":"Limiting global warming to 1.5\u00b0C would save billions from dangerously hot climate"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Current climate policies will leave more than a fifth of humanity exposed to dangerously hot temperatures by 2100, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41893-023-01132-6\">new research suggests<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite the <a href=\"https:\/\/unfccc.int\/process-and-meetings\/the-paris-agreement\">Paris Agreement<\/a> pledge to keep global warming well below 2\u00b0C (compared to pre-industrial levels), current policies are projected to result in 2.7\u00b0C warming by the end of the century.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The new study, led by researchers at the <a href=\"https:\/\/gsiexeter.co.uk\/\">Global Systems Institute<\/a>, University of Exeter, associated with the Earth Commission, and Nanjing University, assessed what this would mean for the number of people living outside the \u201cclimate niche\u201d in which our species has thrived.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It says about 60 million people are already exposed to dangerous heat (average temperature of 29\u00b0C or higher).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And two billion \u2013 22% of the projected end-of-century population \u2013 would be exposed to this at 2.7\u00b0C of global warming.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Fifth of humanity facing future outside safe \u201cclimate niche\u201d\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/1UAPqdlu2pI?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The paper highlights the \u201chuge potential\u201d for decisive climate policy to limit the human costs and inequities of climate change.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Limiting warming to 1.5\u00b0C would leave 5% exposed \u2013 saving a sixth of humanity from dangerous heat compared to 2.7\u00b0C of warming.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The study also finds that the lifetime emissions of 3.5 average global citizens today \u2013 or just 1.2 US citizens \u2013 expose one future person to dangerous heat. This highlights the inequity of climate crisis, as these future heat-exposed people will live in places where emissions today are around half of the global average.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In \u201cworst-case scenarios\u201d of 3.6\u00b0C or even 4.4\u00b0C global warming, half of the world\u2019s population could be left outside the climate niche, posing what the researchers call an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pnas.org\/doi\/full\/10.1073\/pnas.2108146119\">\u201cexistential risk\u201d<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe costs of global warming are often expressed in financial terms, but our study highlights the phenomenal human cost of failing to tackle the climate emergency,\u201d said <a href=\"https:\/\/geography.exeter.ac.uk\/staff\/?web_id=Timothy_Lenton\">Professor Tim Lenton<\/a>, director of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.exeter.ac.uk\/research\/gsi\/\">Global Systems Institute<\/a> at the University of Exeter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cFor every 0.1\u00b0C of warming above present levels, about 140 million more people will be exposed to dangerous heat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThis reveals both the scale of the problem and the importance of decisive action to reduce carbon emissions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cLimiting global warming to 1.5\u00b0C rather than 2.7\u00b0C would mean five times fewer people in 2100 being exposed to dangerous heat.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"How global warming could force billions into dangerously hot climate\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/nfa0TKR_D0k?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/news.exeter.ac.uk\/faculty-of-environment-science-and-economy\/limiting-global-warming-to-1-5c-would-save-billions-from-dangerously-hot-climate\/\"><strong>Read more<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><em>Der in der Zeitschrift Nature Sustainability<\/em> ver\u00f6ffentlichte Artikel tr\u00e4gt den Titel: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41893-023-01132-6\">\u201eQuantifying the Human Cost of Global Warming\u201c.<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<h5 class=\"green\">Source<\/h5>\r\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/news.exeter.ac.uk\/faculty-of-environment-science-and-economy\/limiting-global-warming-to-1-5c-would-save-billions-from-dangerously-hot-climate\/\">University of Exeter 2023<\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"shariff shariff-align-flex-start shariff-widget-align-flex-start\"><div class=\"ShariffHeadline\">Diese Meldung teilen<\/div><ul class=\"shariff-buttons theme-round orientation-horizontal buttonsize-medium\"><li class=\"shariff-button facebook shariff-nocustomcolor\" style=\"background-color:#4273c8;border-radius:1%\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.sonnenseite.com%2Fen%2Fenvironment%2Flimiting-global-warming-to-1-5c-would-save-billions-from-dangerously-hot-climate%2F\" title=\"Bei Facebook teilen\" aria-label=\"Bei Facebook teilen\" role=\"button\" rel=\"nofollow\" class=\"shariff-link\" style=\";border-radius:1%; 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