{"id":95202,"date":"2023-11-09T09:26:09","date_gmt":"2023-11-09T08:26:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sonnenseite.com\/?p=95202"},"modified":"2023-11-09T09:26:12","modified_gmt":"2023-11-09T08:26:12","slug":"governments-plan-to-produce-double-the-fossil-fuels-in-2030-than-the-1-5c-warming-limit-allows","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sonnenseite.com\/en\/energy\/governments-plan-to-produce-double-the-fossil-fuels-in-2030-than-the-1-5c-warming-limit-allows\/","title":{"rendered":"Governments plan to produce double the fossil fuels in 2030 than the 1.5\u00b0C warming limit allows"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>A major new report published today finds that governments plan to produce\u202faround\u202f110% more\u202ffossil fuels\u202fin 2030\u202fthan would be consistent with limiting warming to 1.5\u00b0C,\u202fand 69% more than would be consistent with 2\u00b0C.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This comes despite\u202f151 national governments having pledged to achieve net-zero emissions and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/reports\/net-zero-roadmap-a-global-pathway-to-keep-the-15-0c-goal-in-reach\/executive-summary\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">the latest forecasts<\/a> which suggest global coal, oil, and gas demand will peak this decade, even without new policies. When combined, government plans would<strong> lead to an increase in global coal production until 2030, and in global oil and gas production until at least 2050,<\/strong> creating an ever-widening fossil fuel production gap over time.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The report\u2019s main findings include:\u202f\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Given risks and uncertainties of carbon capture and storage and carbon dioxide removal, countries should aim for a near total phase-out of coal production and use by 2040, and a combined reduction in oil and gas production and use by three-quarters by 2050 from 2020 levels, at a minimum.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>While 17 of the 20 countries featured have pledged to achieve net-zero emissions \u2014 and many have launched initiatives to cut emissions from fossil fuel production activities \u2014 none have committed to reduce coal, oil, and gas production in line with limiting warming to 1.5\u00b0C.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Governments with greater capacity to transition away from fossil fuels should aim for more ambitious reductions and help support the transition processes in countries with limited resources.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The 2023 Production Gap Report: <em>\u201cPhasing down or phasing up? Top fossil fuel producers plan even more extraction despite climate promises\u201d<\/em> isproduced by Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI), Climate Analytics, E3G, International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD) and the UN Environment Programme (UNEP). Itassesses\u202fgovernments\u2019 planned and projected production of coal, oil, and gas against global levels consistent with the <a href=\"https:\/\/unfccc.int\/process-and-meetings\/the-paris-agreement\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Paris Agreement\u2019s<\/a> temperature\u202fgoal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cGovernments are literally doubling down on fossil fuel production; that spells double trouble for people and planet,\u201d said UN Secretary-General Ant\u00f3nio Guterres. \u201cWe cannot address climate catastrophe without tackling its root cause: fossil fuel dependence. COP28 must send a clear signal that the fossil fuel age is out of gas \u2014 that its end is inevitable. We need credible commitments to ramp up renewables, phase out fossil fuels, and boost energy efficiency, while ensuring a just, equitable transition.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>July 2023 was the hottest month ever recorded, and most likely the hottest for the past 120,000 years, <a href=\"https:\/\/news.un.org\/en\/story\/2023\/08\/1139527\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">according to scientists<\/a>. Across the globe, deadly heat waves, droughts, wildfires, storms, and floods are costing lives and livelihoods, making clear that human-induced climate change is here. Global carbon dioxide emissions \u2014 <a href=\"https:\/\/essd.copernicus.org\/articles\/14\/4811\/2022\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">almost 90% of which come from fossil fuels<\/a> \u2014 rose to record highs in 2021\u20132022.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cGovernments\u2019 plans to expand fossil fuel production are undermining the energy transition needed to achieve net-zero emissions, throwing humanity\u2019s future into question,\u201d said Inger Andersen, Executive Director of UNEP. \u201cPowering economies with clean and efficient energy is the only way to end energy poverty and bring down emissions at the same time.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cStarting at COP28, nations must unite behind a managed and equitable phase-out of coal, oil and gas \u2014 to ease the turbulence ahead and benefit every person on this planet,\u201d she added.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The\u202f2023 Production Gap Report provides newly expanded country profiles for 20 major fossil-fuel-producing countries: Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, Colombia, Germany, India, Indonesia, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Mexico, Nigeria, Norway, Qatar, the Russian Federation, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, the United Arab Emirates, the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, and the United States of America.\u202fThese profiles show that most of these governments continue to provide significant policy and financial support for fossil fuel production.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWe find that many governments are promoting fossil gas as an essential \u2018transition\u2019 fuel but with no apparent plans to transition away from it later,\u201d says Ploy&nbsp;Achakulwisut, a lead author on the report and SEI scientist. \u201cBut science says we must start reducing global coal, oil, and gas production and use now \u2014 along with scaling up clean energy, reducing methane emissions from all sources, and other climate actions \u2014 to keep the 1.5\u00b0C goal alive.\u201d&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u202fDespite being the root cause of the climate crisis, fossil fuels have remained largely absent from international climate negotiations until recent years. At <a href=\"https:\/\/www.un.org\/en\/climatechange\/cop26\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">COP26<\/a> in late 2021, governments committed to accelerate efforts towards \u201cthe phasedown of unabated coal power and phase-out of inefficient fossil fuel subsidies\u201d, though they did not agree to address the production of all fossil fuels.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"alignright size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"400\" height=\"558\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sonnenseite.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/ProductionGapReport2023.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-95197\" style=\"aspect-ratio:0.7168458781362007;width:244px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.sonnenseite.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/ProductionGapReport2023.jpg 400w, https:\/\/www.sonnenseite.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/ProductionGapReport2023-215x300.jpg 215w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>\u201cCOP28 could be the pivotal moment where governments finally commit to the phase-out of all fossil fuels and acknowledge the role producers have to play in facilitating a managed and equitable transition,\u201d says Michael Lazarus, a lead author on the report and SEI US Centre Director. \u201cGovernments with the greatest capacities to transition away from fossil fuel production bear the greatest responsibility to do so while providing finance and support to help other countries do the same.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>More than&nbsp;80&nbsp;researchers, from over 30 countries, contributed to the analysis and review, spanning numerous universities, think tanks and other\u202fresearch organizations.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/productiongap.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/PGR2023_web.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u201eProduction Gap Report 2023\u201c (pdf)<\/a> \u2014 first launched in 2019 \u2014 tracks the discrepancy between governments\u2019 planned fossil fuel production and global production levels consistent with limiting warming to 1.5\u00b0C or 2\u00b0C.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<h5 class=\"green\">Source<\/h5>\r\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.unep.org\/news-and-stories\/press-release\/governments-plan-produce-double-fossil-fuels-2030-15degc-warming\">UN &#8211; Environment Programme 2023<\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"shariff shariff-align-flex-start shariff-widget-align-flex-start\"><div class=\"ShariffHeadline\">Diese Meldung teilen<\/div><ul class=\"shariff-buttons theme-round orientation-horizontal buttonsize-medium\"><li class=\"shariff-button facebook shariff-nocustomcolor\" style=\"background-color:#4273c8;border-radius:1%\"><a 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