In the ninth edition of the WindEnergy trend:index, the wind power market received positive ratings for all regions; respondents believe the Ukraine war will only have a short-lived negative impact if any. While the markets in Europe, Asia and North America had been seen in an optimistic light even in the previous surveys and have largely been able to continue at these levels, Germany has achieved a strong improvement of its values compared to the last survey in autumn 2021: After the results were either negative or neutral in recent years, the current and future market situation is now seen as very positive.
These are the overall results of the new WindEnergy trend:index (WEtix) which has been prepared at six-month intervals since 2018. It is published jointly by WindEnergy Hamburg, the global onshore and offshore wind energy event, and wind:research, the leading market research institute for wind energy. Nearly 900 respondents have taken part in the current survey, contributing their assessments of the development of the global onshore and offshore wind industry. All in all, more than 9,400 experts have participated in WEtix surveys since 2018.
Steep upwards trend for Germany: current and future market situation receives (very) positive assessment
While in autumn 2021 the German onshore wind energy market was judged unenthusiastically or even with slight pessimism, respondents are now seeing a very positive environment; Germany has caught up with the other regions in terms of positive ratings. With regard to expectations for the future of the onshore wind market, Germany has likewise achieved its best results by far since the beginning of WEtix surveys. Contrary to the all-time low seen in the autumn 2019 survey, the market for onshore wind in Germany is now considered to be very good, achieving similarly positive results as Europe, North America and Asia.
On the question about the current situation of the offshore wind industry, all regions show significant improvements, with results in the positive to very positive quadrant. Here again, Germany is showing the strongest improvement: the values are now similar to those for Asia, North America and Europe. Not only that, but expectations for the future of offshore wind are very optimistic, as well: Asia, Europe and North America and, as of this new survey, Germany are all neck-and-neck, hovering close to the maximum rating. The rest of the world remains in the positive midfield.
Fears of negative impact of Ukraine war only relevant for the short term
While expectations for both, the next twelve months and the coming two years are positive across all regions, about 50 to 55per cent of survey participants fear that the Ukraine war may have a negative to very negative short-term impact on the wind energy industry. However, between 25 and 30per cent actually expect a positive impact, while roughly 20per cent do not anticipate any major consequences.
All in all, more than 55per cent of respondents see a high to very high likeliness that the production of green hydrogen will play a key role for wind energy over the next two years. These values are at a similarly high level as in past surveys. The mood in terms of the saving potential inherent in new technologies is almost unchanged, remaining in the medium-to-high range; ever since the WEtix was first introduced the saving potential in offshore wind energy has been receiving significantly better ratings than for onshore.
WindEnergy Hamburg from 27 – 30 September 2022 | Every two years one of the most fascinating industries meets for the leading global networking event for wind energy: From 27 until 30 September 2022 many of the conference sessions will take place free of charge on Open Stages located directly inside the exhibition halls. WindEnergy Hamburg 2022 will for the first time be host to the H2 Expo and Conference, the new international meeting place focused on the generation, distribution and use of green hydrogen.